Aaron Ashley: Five punting pointers for Wimbledon 2025
Racing Post tennis expert Aaron Ashley looks at the main talking points going into Wimbledon, which starts on Monday, June 30

Jannik Sinner has unveiled a duet with world-famous Italian tenor Andrea Bocelli with new single “Dust and Glory”, and the world number one is hoping that link-up with his fellow countryman can inspire him to hit all the right notes at Wimbledon.
Sinner is a three-time Grand Slam winner but has yet to be crowned champion at the All England Club, where fierce rival Carlos Alcaraz is chasing a hat-trick of victories this summer.
Alcaraz and Sinner have shared the last six Grand Slam titles between them and they soak up the majority of the market at Wimbledon following their epic five-set French Open final this month.
Meanwhile, there have been ten different winners of the women’s event in as many tournaments and that diversity provides plenty of intrigue ahead of the summer sporting showpiece.
The Alcaraz or Sinner coin-toss
As the powers of seven-time Wimbledon winner Novak Djokovic have started to wane, Alcaraz and Sinner are beginning to look untouchable in Grand Slam competition and that was evident when they locked horns in the French Open final.
That was a missed opportunity for Sinner, who was matched at the minimum exchange price of 1.01 when he had three match points on serve in the fourth set, only to be reeled in by Alcaraz in the longest French Open final in history.
Djokovic’s success at the 2023 US Open was the last time that one of the irresistible duo failed to claim Grand Slam success and many firms offer both players at 6-4.
It is difficult to see how anyone can halt their growing superiority but preference is for Alcaraz, who has won the title in the last two seasons and has now triumphed in five of their last six meetings.
Sinner’s second-round defeat to Alexander Bublik in his only Wimbledon preparation event in Stuttgart poses more concern, leaving Alcaraz as the man to beat in his hat-trick bid.
Destructive Draper flying the British flag
If Britain are to enjoy their first Wimbledon winner since Andy Murray conquered the All England Club for a second time in 2016 then all hopes surely rest on the shoulders of Jack Draper.
The 23-year-old has enjoyed a remarkable rise from world number 61 to world number six in the last two seasons, helped by winning his maiden Masters 1000 title at Indian Wells in March.
A grass-court title in Stuttgart last season, before he defeated Alcaraz in the second round at Queen’s Club, showed his capabilities on the surface and he was a US Open semi-finalist last term.
A Grand Slam title may soon be within reach for Draper but Wimbledon quotes of 8-1 are tight enough.
Shock 2021 US Open champion Emma Raducanu is the shortest-priced British woman at 40-1 and, while she’s clearly rediscovering some form, this is too soon.
Sabalenka bidding to make up for lost time
Women’s world number one Aryna Sabalenka has been forced to miss Wimbledon in two of the last four seasons but she was a semi-finalist on the other couple of occasions and will be chasing a maiden Wimbledon final.
The Belarusian heads the betting at 11-4 and, having finished runner-up at the Australian Open and the French equivalent, will be desperate to resume winning ways.
The 27-year-old has the brute power to blow the opposition when at the top of her game but Ons Jabeur defeated her in the 2023 semi-final while it was Karolina Pliskova who inflicted the damage in her last-four rumble in 2021.
Sabalenka has yet to claim a grass-court title, which makes her a vulnerable favourite, while clay Queen Iga Swiatek is another who has to prove herself properly on the surface.
American aces have plenty in their favour
Making cast-iron claims for anybody in the women’s draw is difficult but the US have players boasting strong credentials, spearheaded by 6-1 shot Coco Gauff who could go from strength to strength after landing her second Grand Slam title at the French Open.
However, Australian Open champion Madison Keys, twice a Wimbledon quarter-finalist, has become a model of consistency and is one more likely to run her race than most at 10-1.
Amanda Anisimova, who made the All England Club quarter-final in 2022, is another American worthy of a mention and the progressive 23-year-old should not be ruled out at 33-1 having finished runner-up at Queen’s Club before another strong showing in Berlin.
Beware of the Czech challenge
The last two winners of the women’s Wimbledon hailed from the Czech Republic - Marketa Vondrousova claimed her maiden Grand Slam title in 2023 before her compatriot Barbora Krejcikova repeated the feat 12 months later.
Ignoring those two former champions, plus top-32 performers Karolina Muchova and Linda Noskova, would be a dangerous strategy and they are all no bigger than 50-1.
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Published on inWimbledon
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