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King Charles III Stakes

15:40 Royal Ascot

2025-06-17

Winner: £411,572.82

Runners: 21

Going: Good To Firm

Distance: 0m5f0y

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The King's Charles III Stakes (formerly the King's Stand Stakes is a Group 1 contest run over 5f. It takes place at 15:40 on Tuesday 17th June, which is the first day of Royal Ascot 2025. View the runners here, and also make sure to check out the odds and tips on offer for this race.

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FORM
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10(21)
554-59
silk
Twilight Calls

-

J: Jamie Spencer
T: Richard Spencer
7
9-7
100
117
An infrequent winner but he's been a fine sprinter in his time and has run with great credit in the last three runnings of this race, finishing second, fourth and sixth; whether he can reproduce those efforts after finishing well held in two runs for new yard looks unlikely.
7(17)
/224-3
silk
Regional

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J: Callum Rodriguez
T: Edward Bethell
7
9-7
114
126
Sparingly raced for a 7yo but he's high class on his day and he hit the jackpot when winning the Group 1 Sprint Cup at Haydock (6f, good) in 2023; seen only three times last year but he found only Asfoora too good in this race and, following a nine-month break, he was produced in great shape to finish a close third to Believing in a Group 1 at Meydan (6f) in April; another placing is realistic.
5(12)
311/3/
silk
Manaccan

-

J: Cieren Fallon
T: John Ryan
6
9-7
105
118
Progressive 3yo in 2022 when a Listed C&D win was surpassed by only a Group 3 AW success later that year; he was seen only once as a 4yo though and not at all since, so it's likely he will be very rusty today.
12(10)
124-17
silk
Asfoora

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J: Oisin Murphy
T: Henry Dwyer
6
9-4
114
129
Excellent Australian mare who really got shifting to beat the locals in this race last year; unable to add to that in two British runs afterwards but perhaps she's more of a powerhouse on this track; looked to retain all her ability when winning in April on return from a layoff but she ran flat just two weeks later and has had a different preparation to last year, arriving much later this time and coming here without a British warm-up run; first-time headgear adds another question but she's earned a lot of respect.
11(11)
57-243
silk
Washington Heights

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J: Tom Eaves
T: Kevin Ryan
5
9-7
107
122
Capable at the right level over both sprint trips but he's been vulnerable in the better races and had every chance when a one-paced third of 11 to Mgheera in a Haydock Group 2 (5f, good) in May; an onlooker again.
8(5)
551-16
silk
Rumstar

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J: Rob Hornby
T: Jonathan Portman
5
9-7
109
123
Has not had many 5f runs since winning a Group 3 as a 2yo and he appreciated the return to this trip when a ready winner of a Listed C&D race (soft) in October and a Group 3 at Newmarket (good) in May; however, a recent sixth to Mgheera in a Group 2 at Haydock leaves him with a lot to find today.
14(1)
3223-1
silk
Believing

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J: Ryan Moore
T: George Boughey
5
9-4
112
130
Very reliable mare who stood a tough 2024 season with fortitude, regularly on the premises in the top sprints, including when fourth, having every chance, in this one (the first of two runs at the meeting); she achieved more when going down only narrowly from a poor draw in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York (5f, good to firm) in August; sold for 3,000,000gns in December; returned to action with a Group 1 win at Meydan (6f) in April and she looks set for another big run at the top level.
4(3)
5546-7
silk
Kerdos

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J: Christophe Soumillon
T: Clive Cox
5
9-7
108
121
Went to a new level when winning a Group 2 at Haydock (5f, soft) last May but taking the next step proved beyond him in Group 1s later, such as when fifth of 17 in this race (good to firm) and fourth at the Curragh (5f, good); out the back on comeback at York and later targets should prove more suitable.
16(8)
506-11
silk
Mgheera

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J: William Buick
T: Ed Walker
5
9-4
108
126
Fairly undistinguished sprint form, nearly all on testing surfaces, in France but when she did find herself on officially good ground, in a Listed 5f race at Chantilly last June, she won in some style; has raised her profile since moving to Britain, winning a Group 3 at Longchamp and dashing home to land a Group 2 at Haydock (5f, good; unraced on good to firm) in May; has a bit to find in form terms but she's at the top of her game and may go higher yet.
NR(2)
1670-1
silk
Bucanero Fuerte

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T: Adrian Murray
4
9-7
110
120
Wide-margin winner of a Group 1 at the Curragh (6f, good) as a 2yo but he was found wanting at this level in Britain and Ireland last year; a stud career didn't work out later and although he picked up a Listed race at Naas (5f, good) in May, that form doesn't go far enough to suggest a strong showing today; has been supplemented.
1(16)
10-115
silk
American Affair
Tip

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J: Paul Mulrennan
T: Jim Goldie
5
9-7
105
121
Made outstanding progress in 5f handicaps and the way he raced to the front at York (good to firm) in May showed that a switch to Group company wouldn't be at all fanciful; unable to show what he was made of behind Mgheera in a Group 2 at Haydock (5f, good) since, as a gap shut as he was about to go through it, and he remains one to keep on the right side.
3(6)
3600-6
silk
Jasour

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J: Jim Crowley
T: Clive Cox
4
9-7
107
121
Smart 6f form as 2yo and 3yo, winning Group races in each year as well as finishing third of 14 in the Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at this meeting in 2024; has needed some excuses since though and he was a disappointing favourite in a 5f Haydock Listed race on his recent reappearance; a hood goes on.
13(4)
112-31
silk
Balmoral Lady

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J: Tom Marquand
T: Ed Walker
4
9-4
102
118
Progressive 4yo who made great strides in the autumn with a hat-trick at about 5f on heavy and soft ground; a recent Listed win at Haydock (5f, good) suggests she's still improving, but this is likely to be hard labour.
NR(13)
615-92
silk
No Half Measures

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T: Richard Hughes
4
9-4
105
122
A pleasant surprise to connections in 2024 as she kept finding something new to win six times, the latest in a Group 3 at Newbury (heavy) in September; off on the right foot this spring, coming on for her reappearance when narrowly failing to concede 5lb to Balmoral Lady in a Listed Haydock race (good) but that form falls short of what will be needed here.
9(14)
3910-7
silk
Starlust
Tip

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J: Rossa Ryan
T: Ralph Beckett
4
9-7
114
128
Dabbles at both sprint trips but 5f on fast ground suits him well as he showed both when finishing an excellent third in the Group 1 Nunthorpe at York (good to firm) in August and for his win in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint at Del Mar (firm) in November; should come on plenty for last month's reappearance and the weather has been kind.
17(18)
080-61
silk
Monteille

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J: Cristian Demuro
T: Mario Baratti
4
9-4
103
119
Recaptured form when returned to 5f in Group 3 at Chantilly (good to soft) recently but this big rise in class is likely to ask too much of her, especially as she's unraced on ground officially quicker than good to soft.
6(7)
0511-3
silk
Night Raider
Tip

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J: James Doyle
T: K R Burke
4
9-7
105
127
Dynamic on AW and was much too swift for his rivals when making it 4-4 (7f and 6f) in a Listed race in November; the return to turf didn't come off when again trying to make all in a Group 2 at York (6f, good to firm) in May when he was a sitting duck late on; however, AW specialists often run well here and he should have the speed for the drop to 5f; remains intriguing.
19(20)
11/5-2
silk
Prime Art

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J: Billy Loughnane
T: Jane Chapple-Hyam
4
9-4
103
118
Juvenile season ended with a Group 3 win at Ayr (6f, good to soft) on final start for Johnny Murtagh; seen only once as a 3yo but she was better than ever when pressing Frost At Dawn in Listed race at Haydock (6f, good to firm) in May; goes into the unknown on first 5f run; has been supplemented.
15(15)
-87221
silk
Frost At Dawn

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J: Mickael Barzalona
T: William Knight
4
9-4
104
119
Often leads; her highest-profile wins have been a Group 3 at Meydan (5f, good) in March 2024 and a Haydock Listed race (6f, good to firm; from Prime Art) last month; this level has proved beyond her so far.
23(23)
1-2118
silk
West Acre
Tip

-

J: Callum Shepherd
T: George Scott
3
9-1
112
123
Had a promising, rather than stellar, 2yo season but he raised the bar when breaking the 5f track record in a Group 2 at Meydan (good to firm) in January, without having too hard a time either; he wasn't so overbearing when following up next time but this trip will suit better than the 6f he ran over when eighth to Believing there in April; not dismissed.
22(19)
814-61
silk
Tropical Storm

-

J: Colin Keane
T: Andrew Balding
3
9-1
103
115
Second of 13 in the Group 2 Norfolk here last year but he couldn't compete with Aesterius in a Group 2 at Doncaster in September; comes here in good form after winning a Listed race narrowly at York (5f, good to firm) but he's hard to recommend at this level; sold for £500,000 on Monday.
20(9)
2116-6
silk
Aesterius

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J: James McDonald
T: Archie Watson
3
9-1
108
117
Smart sprinting 2yo whose four 5f wins included a Group 3 at Longchamp (good to soft) and Group 2 at Doncaster (good), both from the front; has to put a disappointing reappearance at York (favourite) behind him in this much better race.
21(22)
184-23
silk
Estepona

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J: Clement Lecoeuvre
T: M Delcher Sanchez
3
9-1
104
113
Narrow winner of first two races as a 2yo but, even allowing for his second in a Group 3 (extended 5f, good to soft) in the first of two runs at Chantilly this season, he faces a steep uphill task in this first run over a bare 5f.

RACING POST TIP

circle_v2
silk
Mgheera
The Australian mare Asfoora was the best horse in this contest last June but her preparation has been very different this time, arriving much later with no time for a British prep run, and there's no knowing what effect fitting blinkers will have on her. It would be good to see her win again but the runner-up Regional and the fourth Believing don't have a lot of ground to make up from last year's race. Believing, in particular, hardly knows how to run a bad race and she always wants to win but she had every chance from this draw last June and perhaps this course isn't quite the perfect fit for her. MGHEERA has a bit to find on bare form but she's unexposed at 5f on good ground or firmer, is going the right way for her new yard and this stiff test should suit. Night Raider can give it a good shot from the front, while among the bigger prices American Affair remains of interest and Starlust will relish the conditions.

Royal Ascot Free Bets

Verdict

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Past 10 Winners

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Year Horse [Draw] Age Weight SP Trainer Jockey
2024 Asfoora [17] 5 9-4 5/1 Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy
2023 Bradsell [7] 3 9-1 14/1 Archie Watson Hollie Doyle
2022 Nature Strip [10] 7 9-7 9/4 Chris Walker James McDonald
2021 Oxted [14] 5 9-5 4/1 Roger Teal Cieren Fallon
2020 Battaash [10] 6 9-4 5/6F Charles Hills Jim Crowley
2019 Blue Point [1] 5 9-4 5/2 Charlie Appleby James Doyle
2018 Blue Point [10] 4 9-4 6/1 Charlie Appleby William Buick
2017 Lady Aurelia [18] 3 8-9 7/2 Wesley A Ward John R Velazquez
2016 Profitable [8] 4 9-4 4/1 Clive Cox Adam Kirby
2015 Goldream [3] 6 9-4 20/1 Robert Cowell Martin Harley
2014 Sole Power [8] 7 9-4 5/1 Edward Lynam Richard Hughes

Key race stats 2025

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Key trends

  • Adjusted RPR of at least 125, 9/10
  • Rated within 7lb of RPR top-rated, 9/10
  • Ran at least twice that season, 8/10
  • Drawn seven or higher, 8/10
  • Group winner over 5f, 7/10
  • Won that season, 5/10

Other factors

In 2020, Battaash became the first successful favourite since Scenic Blast in 2009.

Four beaten favourites had won a Group race last time.

What happened in the King Charles III Stakes last year?

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ASFOORA became the sixth winner for Australia in the King Charles III Stakes with a length success under Oisin Murphy. Choisir (2003), Takeover Target (2006) and Nature Strip (2022) are among the southern hemisphere sprinters on the race’s honour roll and Henry Dwyer’s mare joined them with a ready victory. She finished fourth in the Temple Stakes at Haydock on soft ground on her first start in Britain the previous month and relished the return to quicker conditions. Asfoora raced prominently and quickened well to score, with fellow market principals Regional and Big Evs filling the places.

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